A new vision for agriculture
momagri, movement for a world agricultural organization, is a think tank chaired by Christian Pèes.
It brings together, managers from the agricultural world and important people from external perspectives,
such as health, development, strategy and defense. Its objective is to promote regulation
of agricultural markets by creating new evaluation tools, such as economic models and indicators,
and by drawing up proposals for an agricultural and international food policy.
A look at the news

The next global crisis will be a food crisis

October 12, 2015

“Forget the credit crunch and the oil crisis, the new global crisis is a food crisis - and we shall be hearing much more of it in the future” recently explained Professor Paul Moughan of Massey University in New Zealand. And for good reason, we will be 9 billion people by 2050 and 11 billion in 2100 according to latest estimates. Food production will have to increase by up to 70% by 2050.

So, how will the states of our planet succeed in ensuring food security for almost 9 billion people? How can we effectively fight against exogenous and endogenous risks including price volatility and its impact on food security?

For now, these questions are struggling to find answers to cover these issues, particularly since the agricultural crisis seen in Europe is spreading. After the collapse of oil prices, it is now agricultural prices in certain sectors that are experiencing a drastic fall, revealing a particularly unstable global context compelled by abundant supply and demand under pressure. The FAO announced that global food prices dropped on average by 5.2% between July and August 2015, the biggest monthly decline since December 2008. Prices for wheat, milk, coffee, orange juice and sugar have reached their lowest level since 2010. Overproduction and weak demand in China and Russia, caused by the embargo, notably drove down milk prices by 33% over the past year.

Farmers are of course directly impacted by the drop in prices and are more so because extreme price variations are becoming more frequent and significant. These variations generate a growing uncertainty for farmers, potentially damaging investment, competitiveness and farm profitability.

Yet extreme financialization and the pursuit of the unregulated liberalization of agricultural trade like those of free-trade agreements negotiated to form large economic units, the pursuit of the WTO’s Doha Round and Brussels’ continued abandonment of regulatory mechanisms within the CAP, will not guarantee the stability of our agriculture and maintain our food security.

Now, more than ever, it is important to learn from past crises and with this in mind, work towards the implementation of international cooperation within the framework of a renewed and adapted governance.

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Paris, 19 June 2019